Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 3.132813 3.715932 4.348245 5.081354 5.904346 6.796190 7.832094
2026-01-25 2.190491 2.928255 3.798105 4.885244 6.192863 7.700364 9.554239
2026-02-01 1.571626 2.366543 3.382723 4.743579 6.482953 8.596075 11.318911
2026-02-08 1.141557 1.939527 3.044089 4.622472 6.753566 9.463607 13.096417
2026-02-15 0.848744 1.627846 2.793124 4.561988 7.070727 10.390486 14.992581
2026-02-22 0.696098 1.487459 2.753133 4.773443 7.754710 11.824991 17.615212
2026-03-01 0.537588 1.294347 2.594839 4.781330 8.138773 12.865339 19.758709
2026-03-08 0.374723 1.042862 2.291965 4.518415 8.088951 13.282562 21.057281
2026-03-15 0.265362 0.858007 2.062875 4.333546 8.124160 13.803179 22.503731
2026-03-22 0.226504 0.815701 2.085338 4.569093 8.825646 15.324759 25.428831
2026-03-29 0.204398 0.807060 2.170079 4.918385 9.727662 17.180871 28.901278
2026-04-05 0.178010 0.777827 2.206645 5.180317 10.497085 18.862729 32.170542
2026-04-12 0.139587 0.700506 2.131531 5.233541 10.932321 20.070069 34.814442
2026-04-19 0.098349 0.591529 1.962521 5.084244 11.005985 20.712136 36.632037
2026-04-26 0.069023 0.503567 1.821237 4.968877 11.124536 21.423618 38.573644
2026-05-03 0.047635 0.428961 1.693602 4.861771 11.243319 22.131856 40.524414
2026-05-10 0.033295 0.372314 1.598523 4.809990 11.455625 22.996769 42.741588
2026-05-17 0.027938 0.359944 1.627326 5.036999 12.206815 24.788198 46.473245
2026-05-24 0.019970 0.321080 1.566376 5.049453 12.542863 25.886100 49.125131
2026-05-31 0.010937 0.254870 1.396163 4.777852 12.298200 25.972886 50.143370
2026-06-07 0.005912 0.206852 1.267826 4.586422 12.193608 26.289698 51.535102
2026-06-14 0.004931 0.204532 1.308694 4.833149 13.002957 28.246117 55.676333
2026-06-21 0.004644 0.212413 1.391741 5.198059 14.074849 30.698766 60.690591